For years, many companies used degrees as lazy screening devices for jobs that did not truly require degree-level academic preparation. Harvard Business School’s work on degree inflation found that more than six million jobs were at risk of degree inflation. In one stark historical example, 67% of production supervisor job postings asked for a college degree, while only 16% of people already successfully employed in that exact role actually held one.
That is not education. That is a toll booth.
If people are already doing the job without the credential, and employers suddenly require the credential for new applicants, the degree has stopped functioning as proof of necessary education. It has become an access fee. It tells young people and working adults: pay the system first, then maybe we will consider you. That gatekeeping creates a nasty loop. Employers require degrees for jobs that do not truly need them. Young people borrow money to get the degree because they are told they will be locked out without it. Then, once too many people have the degree, employers ask for experience, internships, elite schools, portfolios, certifications, and specialized proof on top of the diploma. The student buys the ticket, reaches the front of the line, and learns the ticket was only good enough to enter another line.
The supposed solution has been skills-based hiring. In theory, employers stop using degrees as blunt filters and focus on actual capability. That sounds promising. But corporate announcements are not the same thing as changed behavior. Many companies have changed job postings faster than they have changed actual hiring behavior. So the gate remains standing. Some companies just changed the wording on the sign. This is why the “college still pays” line can become dangerous when it is used carelessly. It is true enough to sound responsible and broad enough to hide the trap. The issue is not whether college can pay. The issue is whether institutions are honestly separating degrees that build market power from credentials that mostly sell hope.
That distinction matters even more because the price has been aggressively financed by debt. The education system did not simply become expensive because families suddenly had more cash sitting around. The student-loan infrastructure helped make higher prices possible. When buyers cannot pay out of pocket but can still borrow against their future earnings, schools face less immediate price resistance. The student does not need to have the money today; the student only needs to be financeable. The systemic consequence is clear: loans did not merely help students afford college. They helped colleges afford higher prices. That does not mean loans are the sole reason tuition rose. Real operational costs, reduced state support in certain periods, amenities competition, administrative growth, rankings pressure, facilities, and labor costs all matter. But the financing pipeline is the mechanism that allowed the mass market to keep functioning even as prices detached from what families could actually pay out of pocket.
A normal market eventually hits a wall. The buyer runs out of money. The lender says no. The product gets repriced. But higher education has operated under a different moral and financial shelter. The word “education” changes societal risk tolerance. A young person who could never borrow $100,000 for a car, a boat, or an untested business idea can take on life-shaping education debt because everyone around them repeats the same promise: this is an investment in your future.
That promise is the whole deal.
If the return is strong, the deal makes sense. If the degree creates real market power, opens a licensed profession, builds technical competence, or produces a clear employment bridge, then the time and money can be justified. But if the credential does not materially improve the student’s position, the same transaction starts to look very different. It stops looking like opportunity and starts looking like financial extraction with a graduation ceremony. That is why the trade comparison matters, even though it should not be romanticized. Electricians, plumbers, HVAC technicians, welders, linemen, mechanics, and other skilled workers do hard work. Trades are physically demanding. They carry long-term physical wear, apprenticeship barriers, regional variations, and income ceilings depending on region, specialization, union-scale work, overtime-heavy roles, contracting, and business ownership.
But many of those paths let a young person start earning sooner, build experience earlier, avoid large college debt, and become cash-positive while a college student is still paying premium prices just to prepare. The point is not that everyone should go into the trades. The point is that the old default advice — “just go to college” — became financially irresponsible the moment it ignored field, cost, debt, time, alternatives, and expected return. The old social contract said the diploma would separate the student from the pack. In too many cases, it now buys the student an expensive place in the same crowd.
That is the moral problem.
The students are not the main villains here. Some make poor choices. Some choose comfort over hard preparation. Some ignore obvious market signals. Personal responsibility still matters. But it is too easy to stop there because blaming the student lets the adults walk away clean.
1. Best Moral Responsibility Point — @socketsproket
“The problem with laughing after the fact and aggressively saying, Didn’t you research this degree before you went to college? discounts the fact that literal children were the ones who had to decide on majors and send college applications as juniors and seniors in high school...”
Why it matters: This pushes back against pure mockery and adds moral weight. It argues that the system asks teenagers to make adult financial decisions before they fully understand debt, labor markets, or long-term consequences.
2. Best ROI / Social Contract Comment — @Thefullmath
“WE NEED to STOP telling young adults the only way to get ahead is to go to college. There are so many better affordable options. Doesn’t make sense to go into debt to get a paper that doesn’t guarantee you anything but debt...”
Why it matters: This is almost a compressed version of the article’s thesis: debt, weak guarantees, signal dilution, and the collapse of the old just-get-a-degree promise.
3. Best Alternative-Path Example — @wolfheart3085
“My son went to school for HVAC. It cost me less than $5,000 to pay for his certificates and he now makes over $120,000 a year. Let’s see AI fix your air conditioner!”
Why it matters: This gives the trade-path argument a concrete example: lower upfront cost, practical skill, faster earning power, and a market need that is not easily abstracted away.
4. Best Practical Degree-Recovery Comment — @lindsay-1324
“the one girl could use her spanish degree to be an interpreter for a hospital and make pretty good money...”
Why it matters: This adds needed nuance. Even a degree that looks weak in the abstract may become valuable when paired with a real employment bridge.
5. Best Institutional Accountability Comment — @paulstandaert5709
“I discovered this useless degree phenomenon about 22 years ago. The colleges seem to have no skin in the game when it comes to the whole loan forgiveness thing. They need to have a little accountability for selling a defective product.”
Why it matters: This captures the accountability gap: schools collect payment upfront, but the student carries the downside if the credential does not perform.